Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:
Both guys come into this fight career highs. Santos has looked unstoppable since going up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz currently rides a dominant four fight win streak. This matchup however appears to favour Blachowicz in several ways. Durability and cardio is going to be a large factor and there a not many tougher than Blachowicz. Santos throws everything with complete power and is based on finishing opponents. In a five round combat this strategy is a risky one that is going to backfire in the subsequent rounds. Blachowicz brings stopping power of their own but conserves cardio for a more consistent output. On the feet both men may have their moments, but the precise jab of Blachowicz will be very likely to cause Santos problems. His boxing is reckless yet wild and a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The largest advantage goes to Blachowicz on the ground. As Santos tires the takedowns will be available and Santos has struggled at the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt skills must find Blachowicz a complete once the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz at 2.00 (+100) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what ought to be a one sided affair. On the toes Ismagulov is fast with his in and out striking. Defensively he avoids trouble whilst throwing some flashy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez looks slower on the toes with a riskier design. He keeps his hands low but does throw aggressive combinations. The significant differential lies at the grappling section. Alvarez has not shown good takedown defense on the regional landscape and relies on high hazard admissions off his spine. Against UFC calibre competitions this strategy succeeds. Look for Ismagulov to push his advantage standing and search for excursions and takedowns to the mat in which he favours control and top position via ground and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov at 1.34 (-290) chances. Risk 5 Units to win 1.70 Units.
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