This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight card in Canada. DraftKings has some solid contests for us to win a lot of money from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $25k belongs to 1st place with a total of 100k being paid out. They also have a new Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they will compete for a $50k first location price and $175k will be distributed between all 100 entries that match. I will attempt to receive my 2nd seat this week if at all possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be actual bankroll suckers, so be careful chasing those overly hard. I will likely stick to the top GPP this week and throw a handful of entries at the $25k prize, and then I will probably have a couple shots at the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to receive a fantastic quantity of play into cash games.
With that said, let’s get into a couple plays I like this week along with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of the week — Macy Chiasson — $9,400
Macy Chiasson is by far the safest play on the board this week and she has 100+ stage upside down. She’s a lock in my money games this week and that I actually don’t really see the way she loses. I believe a submission would be Moras’ best opportunity but she isn’t capable of finding the fight to the floor, so that I see her getting dominated on the toes before the ref measures. She’s by far my favourite play at the 9k selection and she’s a -750 on the gambling line. I like playing with it safer in cash games and I think she’s a secure triumph this week.
GPP play of this week — Greg Hardy- $8,600
This is a simple one for me this week and he’ll be the chalk of this week. I’ll continue to be obese on Merab though. His style is precisely what we want on DraftKings. He’s got a nonstop pace and he shoots takedowns very often. He’s 22 landed takedowns in his initial 3 UFC fights which is his very best path to success in this matchup too. Even with 2 losses on his album from these 3 fights, he averages more DK points than Katona does with his 2-0 UFC record. This is not my GPP play of the week since I understand he is going to win, I only know IF he wins he will score highly, and he should easily reach value on an $8.6k price tag.
Underdog drama of this week — Donald’Cowboy’ Cerrone — $7,800
I must select Cowboy as the puppy of the week. His struggles are always action packed and the winner of the fight will definitely be on the first-place lineup. Particularly if it is Cowboy. He almost always scores over 100 points in his wins and he’s 5-rounds to use here. I really don’t find a circumstance in which he wins and doesn’t wind up about the $25k lineup. I will be overweight on Cowboy this week, but this really is an all-in fight for me. If Cowboy is not in a one of my lineups, you then will see Iaquinta there. I’m thicker on the Cowboy side though and I believe he gets the job done by submission.
Fade of this week — Elias Theodorou ($8,000)
I would be very surprised to see Theodorou on the 1st place lineup this week. I would be amazed to see him get 10x his $8k price tag and that is the reason why I have zero lineups with this week. Not counting his struggle with Dan Kelly, his 4 wins before that scored 76, 69, 64, and 49. His style is just bad for DraftKings. He is going to need to knock Brunson out if he is going to score tremendously and he is not a power puncher. I believe you’re better off carrying Elias by TKO on the gambling line in +870. I really don’t find any reason to invest in this week in GPPs because he doesn’t have the ceiling we want to win that big $25k. I believe he is fine in money games as a 65-point win would not kill us . But he is a simple fade of the week for me Saturday.
Thanks for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown each fight on the card and provide my entire DraftKings evaluation, as well as all my pick predictions, you can find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are available at that link too. I’m 71-45 for +233.79un (+$23,379) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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