This weekend, we have an 11-fight card in Greenville, South Carolina. DraftKings has some adequate competitions for us to acquire a great deal of money from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy and $25k belongs to 1st place with a total of $120k being paid out. In addition they possess a Qualifier only competition for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first location price and that $175k will be distributed between all 100 entries that qualify. I will attempt to get my 3rd chair this week to max it if I could. Those Qualifier only competitions can be real bankroll suckers, so be careful chasing those too hard. I will likely stick to the very best GPP this week and throw a handful of entries at the $30k prize, then I will likely take a few shots in the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs through the week to get a good amount of drama into cash games.
With that said, let’s get to a couple plays I enjoy this week Together with my fade of the week:
Money Game play of the week — Main Event STACK — Renato Moicano and Chan Sung Jung
For me personally, this is an easy pile in money week. I think we readily have a floor of 100 with Renato Moicano and The Korean Zombie with upside of ~150. Additionally, it guarantees us the winner. As I have mentioned several times previously, we do not want 6 wins in money games, so play with those kind of games all you have to do is conquer half the area. Usually 4 wins or 400+ points is good enough to cash in the majority of cash games. Even if you have a strong lean with this fight I still recommend stacking.
GPP play of the week — Jairzinho Rozenstruik — $9,000
Rozenstruik has the greatest ITD line on the card in -140 and he could easily hit 100+ DK points from obtaining that in round 1. The worry here would be him being on his back in round 1 and then scoring zero points through that and then going out and getting a KO in round 2. Or no KO at all. Both of those would take him off the perfect lineup so we need this struggle to keep standing and ideally an early KO. I believe that is extremely possible and he’ll be a heart GPP drama of mine . He isn’t the greatest money game play however because he could be put on his back and be stuck there and perhaps even lose the fight like that. I am OK with him cash, but I won’t be making that a priority like I’m being overweight in GPPs.
Underdog drama of this week — Anderson Dos Santos — $7,900
This gambling line is about pickem’ with a slight lean towards Dos Santos. However, Ewell is the preferred on DraftKings and is $400 more than ADS. Ewell is likewise the striker so that he to score highly he is going to want a finish. His weakness is Anderson Dos Santos’ strength though. Ewell has a hard time staying off his spine and when ADS can put him there he could possibly submit him. Or he could rack up numerous takedowns for a high decision score. I like the value we’re getting on him at $7.9k and that I like he should be looking to grapple in this fight. That’s why I needed to select him as my puppy of the week.
Fade of this week — Syuri Kondo $8,000
There aren’t any real easy fades this week. I really do have a full fade on Kondo however because she seems to be purely a striker and I think Ashely Yoder’s greatest path to success is by way of grappling. If Kondo isn’t in a striking game for 15-minutes I really don’t see how she scores tremendously unless she receives a finish. I really don’t think she’s KO power, therefore I believe it is purely the substantial strikes and the win bonus which we’d be relying here. I’d rather have a fighter with more of a opportunity to finish or who is more inclined to grapple. That’s why Kondo is my fade of this week.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle about the card and give my complete DraftKings evaluation, in Addition to all of my pick predictions, then you can find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are offered at that link too. I am 81-51 for +251.89u (+$25,189) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)