There’s a good deal of cash to be obtained this week on DraftKings including a top prize of $30k from the main tournament. DK also has lots of Qualifier contests available this week, where the last event will pay $50k to 1st for those who did qualify to play inside. I’ll be pursuing those as well because we have never had a $50k 1st place prize and I want it. I do think we have a enjoyable card this Saturday and that I am ready to go into this 3-week break using a winning night in UFC 227. Listed below are a couple plays I like this weekend together with my fade of the week.
Cash Game play of this week — Demetrious Johnson ($9,400)
Demetrious Johnson is the safest play in all DFS MMA and he’s the highest ceiling as well. DJ is your P4P best fight in the world (not counting Jon Jones) and he has beat Cejudo once before. This is the first person I am plugging in my money LU this week and I suggest you do the same. DJ is practically guaranteed to score at least 100-points in a win, and he has a -550 betting line saying he should find the win here. Play it safe and use DJ in money. It’s possible to pile this battle also, however I think DJ is essential.
GPP play of the week — Thiago Santos ($9,200)
This is a good fight to goal this week because it most likely will not go to a decision. Holland just fought the Contender Series a few weeks ago and didn’t get a contract. But now he’s on the PPV against one of the most bizarre strikers from the branch. The ITD line for Santos is now -210 and the below 1.5 rounds gambling line is -160. This tells me Vegas thinks this fight ends ancient and Santos is the man which should pick up the finish. At $9.2k, he easily pays that cost off at a 1st round win and I think he has a good shot at doing exactly that. I don’t care for him as much in cash game formats however because both men have quite lower floors, so this is a GPP only play for me.
Underdog drama of the week — Brett Johns ($7,400)
I think everyone is writing off Brett Johns after his loss to Aljo Sterling and that is exactly why he is so economical on DraftKings this weekend. With the wrestling fashion Johns brings to the table, he has 100+ upside even in a decision triumph. Of course, we’re worried about him becoming caught in a guillotine when he shoots for takedowns, but if he can avoid that I believe he can win this battle and 10x his salary with a win. I don’t think Johns will want to strike with Munhoz for 15-minutes so I really do believe he will be shooting for takedowns. Those takedowns can get him submitted, or they could get him a win on the scorecards. However, that makes him a boom or bust play and that’s why he’s a good underdog to select in GPPs this past week.
Fade of the week — Danielle Taylor ($7,500)
Even in an affordable $7.5k on DraftKings, Taylor will still need a finish to cover that price label off with her style. She’s the worst style potential for scoring DraftKings point and even if she’s a triumph here she could wind up scoring significantly less than some losers on the card. Taylor is going to be the least possessed fighter in GPPs this week, so if you would like to spend your cash on a 115 lb woman using a”punchers chance” of winning you a GPP, then you’ll be very contrarian taking that route. However, I have no interest in investing my money into that I will have Taylor in 0 of my lineups this week. If I was making 150 lineups, I would still complete fade Taylor here.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight about the card and provide my full DraftKings evaluation, as well as all of my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
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